I started running on Thanksgiving Day 2005. I ran my first half-marathon 5 months later and my first marathon 14 months later. Looking back, perhaps this was not a recipe for success, in terms of letting my body adapt to running a bit more slowly but most of us aren't all that smart when we start out in these things.
Rock N Roll Arizona 2007 - 4:46:14
Raging IT band issues leading into the race, both 20 mile runs in my build done in excruciating pain (and one of them cut short as a result). Didn't run most of my taper and did the race with a lot of ibuprofen but no pain at all. Never had an IT band problem again. *too much too soon*
Big Sur International Marathon 2007 - 4:53:40
3 months after the first marathon, on my 30th birthday as a celebration! Super hilly course, only goal was to finish happy and I did. Most beautiful marathon course ever.
Rock N Roll Arizona 2008 - 4:58:54
Back a year later, super trained and ready for a big PR. Then I got sick 8 miles into the race and walked a good portion of the rest of it. That's what you get for spending time in the ER with a family member during flu season during your taper.
Ironman Arizona 2009 - 5:03:00
First Ironman ever, plenty of walking in the back half. GI issues galore.
Ironman Arizona 2011 - 4:50:57
Second Ironman, more careful pacing, still some walking in the later miles.
Ironman Canada 2012 - 4:27:57
Far hillier IM course than the first two, only walked aid stations in the back half of the course. Paced it slow but steady and PRed a marathon for the first time in 5+ years.
Tucson Marathon 2013 - ?????
With all of that in mind, I'll take your bets on what my time will be! Winner wins…the joy of being right.